Beginning of the new forecasting software: the end of October, expressed on a symbolic start button LKA-President Ralf Michelfelder, Interior Minister Reinhold Gall, State Police Commissioner Gerhard Klotter and Thomas Schweer the Institute for pattern-based forecasting technique (from left) Photo:. Dpa
Police in Stuttgart and Karlsruhe test just released a new software that will help her in the fight against burglars. Enthusiasm keeps in Frontiers despite declining numbers. The turnaround you’ve also done it without the machine, they say.
Stuttgart – From the System “precobs” you have only heard good. Precobs stands for “Pre Crime Observation System”. It is intended to help prevent crime. Crimes such as burglaries, affecting the sense of security of the citizens particularly strong as it always is. Precobs was developed by a private institute in Oberhausen, the Institute for pattern-based forecasting technique (IfmPt). If you feed the computer with data committed burglaries, the system should facilitate the work of the police: The software predicts in which quarter burglars will strike expected to be back in the next few days. The police then goes specifically on patrol, the officials to be so efficient. That is the theory
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in practice, the software so far in the will Switzerland used and tested in Bavaria. From there come reports of success, although this could also be because that Bayern began with the test already October 2014 – ie at a time when almost every month the number of burglaries reached a new high. Hence the decline of nine percent, the Bavaria is has experienced in the past year, partly attributed to the use of new software
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In Baden-Württemberg it is different. Also there were the number of burglaries in 2015 back, by around ten percent. However, even without the new software. As the end of October the entire police command announced the start of the test of the new system in the police headquarters Stuttgart and Karlsruhe, the numbers were already massively from sinking. Accordingly even then held his enthusiasm for the project in police circles in limits. We have achieved the turnaround already without the new software, it said proudly. Quite simply, where you made the burglary crime to focus
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Even before the police created a situation report
It is also not the case that the police have been driven out of the blue to catch burglars. Even without the software determined one the most popular with burglars quarter and territories. And also for this investigation used the police of course a computer
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So it will be exciting. For Baden-Württemberg could be the first state to disenchant the new software. According to police management experience Namely rated for the first time by an independent body – the Max Planck Institute in Freiburg
The result is expected internally for the end of July / beginning of August.. No easy task for the scientists as one thinks in police circles. “We wonder how the want to objectively determine whether the software has brought something,” says an official. Although the number of burglaries have fallen sharply in the testing phase, but they did just as well even before that.
To the royalties a secret is made
And even if the Max Planck Institute should come to the conclusion that it would be helpful to use the new software permanently and perhaps even more widespread, the police leadership a cost-benefit analysis needs to make. Because the institute that developed the software that requires license fees, and although reportedly not too tight.
“Cheap is different,” says police sources, said the exact sum of a mystery is made. At the beginning of the tests in Stuttgart and Karlsruhe had only stated the whole thing will cost taxpayers and EUR 220 000. But one could also one or two police officers more to adjust.
Especially as the officials are already convinced in the fight against burglars that they are more efficient than a machine. While there are also proponents of the new software, but the trial has yet annoyed some officials. Up to twelve alarms a day there is what is called in the case: Twelve strips should get in vulnerable quarters. But as much officials has now not always available, especially since the software will be itself also cared for and fed.
Pending a decision by the software will continue to use
Officially says no what, all waiting for the results and on who will be the new interior minister. Until then, no one wants to burn your mouth.
The fact that the software is now operated via the testing period on, we must not be regarded as preliminary for the new system, according to an Interior Ministry spokesman. There go just that you do not power down a system that will then probably but considered the result to be useful, he says. . “. Nothing has been decided yet” And additionally cost some do not do this further operation the taxpayer also
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